I am having trouble findng a winner

I am finding it impossible at the moment and today's card at Newmarket is not helping. However there is one that I like in the 4.20 race, Vital Statistics. David Elsworth's runner has been rated as high as 108 and is bred to love the soft ground. She hasn't really hit form yet this season but is capable of winning this at her best. I am also taking a chance with the Michael Jarvis newcomer Sortita in the 1.00. The pedigree suggests he could be a bit special and the stable noramally pick up the odd back-end maiden. Danny has a couple as well the first is Officer de Reserve in the 2.20 at Cheltenham. Nicholls does well with his French imports and this one shows the same talent over hurdles as fences he will be hard to beat. Blue Ksar in the Newmarket 3.10 is his second choice. It appears to have the best form on show and will love the ground.